新西兰奥克兰房地产市场开始有利于卖家
在新西兰
Auckland property market favouring sellers: report
By Susie Nordqvist
10:25 AM Wednesday Jun 1, 2011
The Auckland property market has reached a tipping point as a significant fall in new listings, coupled with a late rush of summer sales, pushes the market in favour of sellers for the first time in more than 18 months.
The latest New Zealand Property Report from Realestate.co.nz puts the number of new listings nationally at 9,898 during May, down 15 per cent on the same time last year.
The lower number of listings had a big impact on housing inventory in key markets including Auckland, where the level of unsold homes fell below the long-term average of 34 weeks, to just 30 weeks, Realestate.co.nz's chief executive Alistair Helm said.
The number of new property listings reached 3417 in Auckland during May, down 11 per cent from a year earlier.
Nationally housing inventory, fell significantly from 54 weeks in April to 47 weeks in May.
Meanwhile the average national asking price fell from last month's record high of $429,249 to $414,308, as the market entered the traditionally quieter autumn/winter period.
Five of the 19 regions survey, including Wellington and Queenstown Lakes, recorded declines of more than five per cent during the month.
Those regions also recorded low levels of inventory, Helm said.
Helm said higher sales activity in the first quarter of the year combined with comparatively low numbers of new listings had contracted the Auckland market, shifting the balance in favour of sellers for the first time in more than a year and a half.
"There is a level of confidence here from sellers that we haven't seen in a long while. The cyclical trend we saw following the impact of the global financial crisis in winter 2009 is balancing out and normalising the property market again to some degree."
Helm said that if current trends continue in Auckland, the region could see a shortfall in new listings emerging during the winter months.
While the level of inventory was giving vendors the upper hand in Auckland and Queenstown, 10 of the 19 regions were still predominantly favouring buyers, Helm said.
"We are clearly seeing a 'two-speed' property market in New Zealand at this time, with Auckland leading the rest of the country in levels of property activity," he said.
Both Auckland and Queenstown were seeing the results of stronger sales matched with lower levels of new listings, while four other regions were also showing signs of having more balanced markets.
Otago, the West Coast, Waikato and the Bay of Plenty were "edging to a turning point in the market with more balance between buyers and sellers", Helm said.
ASB economist Christina Leung said contained level of inventory, positive migration and population growth, as well as the recent drop in interest rates were all positive for the property market over the year ahead.
"We expect nationwide prices are troughing out now, and should increase by around 3 per cent over the year ahead. Behind this lift will be a range of experiences, from stronger price appreciation in areas such as Auckland, and ongoing weakness in areas where population and income growth are less supportive," she said.
http://www.nzherald.co.nz/
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That's very true.
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这是市场拐点到来的一个强烈信号
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And it's still not too late to get into the market.
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反正最近看PROPERTY PRESS，好薄呀！房源好少，和AGENT聊天，都和我说，上市的房子太少了。我一个朋友房子还没建完就卖了，价格非常不错，看来可能拐点来了！
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没错现在就缺好的房源阿,另外很多房子的广告都选择在West Home上登广告而不是在Property Press上,因为West Home是每期会固定发到每家每户的,效果比较好一些,而Property Press就差一些了,所以现在很多房东都喜欢把房子放到West Home上(仅限西区及中区部分地区)
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市场已经转暖,到八九月后可能会放量上升.
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唉，這麼說我們這些還沒買房的人的好日子快到頭了
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如果卖家的心态变强硬了，价格就难谈了。这个最烦人。。。
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谈拐点，为时尚早。
已经明确指出仅是奥克兰和皇后镇的个别表现。整个国家的房市还处在胶着状态。
对于奥克兰的突出表现无非在于
1自从去年年底到目前的基督城地震，一直影响基督城人口的流动。很多基督城人向外流，其中很多的首选目的地是奥克兰。
2很多前几年的留学生已经成为这里的居民，并进入成家育子阶段。随着时间推移，可能他们在国内的长辈也会不久来这里团聚。在一定程度上，定居奥克兰是很多华人的首选。
3随着日本灾难的影响，部分新西兰人也开始携款回国定居。大城市还是他们的首选，当然就是以奥克兰为主的。
4今年房屋建设批准数量的降低也是另外的推动因素。
5在冬季，上市房源会减少。此消彼长，也推动市场上调。
6利率低位。买家有买房动力；房屋拥有者不受房贷的困扰不急于卖房。
但以上这些因素仅仅是推高目前市场的不稳定因素而已，并不具有持久性。目前的奥克兰的房产牛市仅仅是在全国房产买卖双方胶着战上表现的暂时异动而已，并不能代表其长期性。
如进一步考虑后期的大赛和年底的时间连贯性，众多新西兰人跳到澳洲，欧洲。似乎奥克兰房市如何走还未可定。