澳洲美联储今年不加息,9月份结束缩表。

在澳大利亚证券外汇




美元大跌。

评论
好消息

评论
难道又要开始放水?

评论

看来有生之年真的要遭遇一次。

评论
那还不买买买?打枪的不要,闷声大发财,加价吃进别人的楼花就行了,楼主。

评论
澳币又不涨。有啥用。这半死不活的汇率

评论
是时候做多澳元了!今年都应该跌不穿。70

评论

你这是什么逻辑,哪次金融危机,美国不放水,金融危机,每个国家都要放水。

评论

+1

评论
留意长短国债收益率倒挂

评论
只是暗示,不是决定。

评论
我来贴个原文把,顺便我们可以肯定lz不是英语不好

The Federal Reserve decided Wednesday to hold interest rates steady and indicated that no more hikes will be coming this year.

In a unanimous move that coincides with market expectations and demands, the central bank’s policymaking Federal Open Market Committee took a sharp dovish turn from policy projections just three months earlier.

After the announcement, 10-year Treasury yields fell to their lowest level in a year.

Committee members had estimated in December that two rate hikes would be appropriate in 2019 after four increases in 2018. They also pointed to at least another one before ending a round of policy tightening that began in December 2015.

However, there now appears to be no likelihood of a hike unless conditions change significantly. In its post-meeting statement, the FOMC indicated it would remain “patient” before adopting any further increases.

The Fed currently holds its benchmark funds rate in a range of 2.25 percent to 2.5 percent. The rate is used as a key for determining interest on most adjustable-rate consumer debt, like credit cards and home equity loans.

Economic forecasts downgraded
The move came along with reduced expectations in GDP growth and inflation and a bump higher in the unemployment rate outlook.

For a central bank not so long ago intent on normalizing policy from its financial crisis-era accommodation levels, the developments at this week’s meeting represent a striking change in direction.

The Fed had held its benchmark rate near zero for seven years as it looked to stimulate the housing market and overall economic activity. Its low-rate programs coincided with the longest bull market on record for stocks.

RT: Jerome Powell 190320
Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell holds a news conference following the two-day Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) policy meeting in Washington, U.S., March 20, 2019.
Jonathan Ernst | Reuters
However, Chairman Jerome Powell, and before him Janet Yellen, has sought to get policy back to a place where the Fed would have room to move in case of another pronounced economic downturn.

Along with the historic lows in rate came three rounds of bond buying that helped provide liquidity to financial markets. The program had pushed the Fed’s balance sheet to $4.5 trillion, which it has sought to lower through a program that allowed proceeds from the bonds to roll off each month.

Balance sheet unwind ending
That roll-off program also will conclude at the end of the September, a decision that also occurred in conjunction with financial market pressure on the Fed to stop tightening policy at a time when economic uncertainty is running high.

Fed officials now see economic gains of just 2.1 percent this year, down from the 2.3 percent estimate in December, and inflation reaching 1.8 percent, a 0.1 percentage point reduction.

The unemployment rate for this year is now seen at 3.7 percent, up 0.2 percentage points from December.

The lowered rate outlook was expressed in a sharp shift downward in the committee’s “dot plot” – a chart anonymously the expectations of each of the FOMC’s 17 dot-posting members.

In the previous quarter’s projections, just two members anticipated no hike. That moved to 11 in the current plot. December’s meeting indicated 11 members believing two hikes would be appropriate. That shifted to two this time.

In the statement explaining its decision, the committee said economic activity “has slowed” even though the labor market remains “strong” despite February’s weak 20,000 growth in nonfarm payrolls.

More specifically, the statement said “recent indicators point to slower growth of household spending and business fixed investment in the first quarter,” a period during which GDP gains are expected to be modest.

Inflation also has “declined” due largely to a drop in energy prices, the statement added.

评论
总结一下
房价要涨
对吧?

评论



评论
准备好了,全球一起过冬呗,多大点事

评论
真的假的?这转变的也太快了吧!

评论
美元在全球贸易活动、金融活动中的主导地位,使得美联储货币政策的变化也如潮汐引导着全球资本流动与贸易活动扩张收缩。若以历史上美联储货币政策转向作为参考,美国过去5轮加息周期结束后,以股市和房地产为代表的资本市场均出现不同程度的繁荣与扩张。若全球经济下行压力加大,导致各国央行货币政策正式转向持续性宽松,或将迎来新一轮全球资产价格上涨

评论

大胸妹两年前就预测2019房贷要涨到7%了.结果美联储竟然敢不听大胸的话?

评论
不加息,未必意味着房价要涨啊

评论

胸还不够大

评论
周末赶紧去买两套压压精

评论
上次还没危机RBA从7.x 降到1.x
这次澳洲要真危机了,RBA可以从1.x降到-7.x

评论

..........................

评论

如果经济危机来了,大资金会如何准备?持有现金,还是买实物黄金?

评论

你精太多了。

评论
做好过冬准备
澳洲中文论坛热点
悉尼部份城铁将封闭一年,华人区受影响!只能乘巴士(组图)
据《逐日电讯报》报导,从明年年中开始,因为从Bankstown和Sydenham的城铁将因Metro South West革新名目而
联邦政客们具有多少房产?
据本月早些时分报导,绿党副首领、参议员Mehreen Faruqi已获准在Port Macquarie联系其房产并建造三栋投资联

证券外汇

证券外汇

Westpac数字卡动态CVC不可靠吗?

澳大利亚O.P. 在西太平洋银行标记欺诈交易并重新发行我的卡后,我刚刚在 Android 上设置了其中一个。 这个想法很棒,我对增加的安全性感到满意。 p> 但是 70% 的情况下,显示 CVV 的“数字卡”屏 ...

证券外汇

汽车金融、银行VS经销商?

澳大利亚O.P. 大家好, 我想为一辆新车获得融资,我的银行提供 6.49% 的汽车贷款利率,有人可以告诉我经销商通常为买家提供的利率是多少吗% 的利率? 我想知道是否值得询问经销商,因为我知 ...

证券外汇

放错地方

澳大利亚O.P. 我的妻子,随着阿尔茨海默氏症的早期发作,在我们外出之前,将她的信用卡放在房子里的某个地方说。 我们已经颠倒了房子。 我上网看看如何报告。当然,它要求信用卡号。我们 ...

证券外汇

资产测试的时间?购买家庭住宅B4退休?

澳大利亚O.P. 您的初始资产测试何时完成? 当您67岁时?或当您“退休”时? - (停止工作)? 如果我推迟退休说68,我将回顾我所拥有的67年资产,还是当前的超级资产(非常低的超级资产)数 ...

证券外汇

违反税收居住后出售Inv物业?

澳大利亚O.P. 我有这种情况。我的一个朋友要永久移居海外。他将打破其税务居民身份,并开始在新的居住国(美国)缴纳所得税。 在美国,您持有超过一年的任何投资房产都需要缴纳长期资本 ...

证券外汇

IBKR确实令人沮丧

澳大利亚O.P. 我在盈透证券开设了一个经纪账户来交易美国股票,最近我开始进行期权交易(只是出售备兑看涨期权和看跌期权),但 IBKR 非常令人沮丧,不会让我进入期权交易,即使 现在已经 ...

证券外汇

15年后,CGT进行中小企业清算

澳大利亚O.P. 朋友/专家, 想了解:澳大利亚资本利得税 15 年规则中小企业 https://www.ato.gov.au/bu sinesses-and-organizations/i ncome-deductions-and-concess ions/incentives-and-concessi ons/small-business-cgt-conce ssions/small ...

证券外汇

欺诈交易绕过SMS安全性

澳大利亚O.P. 大家好, 我想知道黑客或诈骗者是否有办法绕过银行机构发送的 6 位数短信代码? 致给你背景信息——我注意到我的西太平洋银行卡上有两笔来自伊斯坦布尔的交易,总计约 200 美 ...

证券外汇

Visa 借记卡作为政策已张贴预激活..?

澳大利亚O.P. 我的卡本月即将到期,Ubank(86400/nab)给我发送了一张新卡,但是它已被激活并从我的邮箱中偷走了。 我只知道某事已经起了,因为我从未去过的15分钟之外的超市批准了5C交易。 我 ...

证券外汇

自费课程报销计算

澳大利亚O.P. 我想获得一个估计,我会在纳税申报表时回到口袋里以自给我的工作直接相关的课程。 课程的费用IS $ 3,357.50 + GST($ 3,693.25含GST)。 说,如果我的薪水正好为$ 135,001 + super。例如在 ...

证券外汇

Woolworths 信用卡?

澳大利亚O.P. 您好 我只是想知道是否有人在使用woolworths信用卡时有过任何正面、负面、冷漠的经历或想法? 其他地方的评论似乎是负面的,因为注册过程。 我不是在寻找积分,而是在寻找定期 ...

证券外汇

股票——不是常见的问题。

澳大利亚O.P. 大家好, 希望能在这方面为我指明正确的方向。 大约 20 年前,我的母亲留下了很多联邦银行股票。我根本不知道她之前持有这些股票多久了……可能很多年了。 我已经 70 多岁了, ...

证券外汇

税务居民身份和税务影响

澳大利亚O.P. 大家好, 我是一名 IT 顾问,过去 10 年一直在我现在的公司工作。在过去的四年里,我把“在家工作”带到了海外,在巴基斯坦和父母一起工作了相当长的一段时间。 我最近几年的 ...

证券外汇

NRMA 保险

澳大利亚O.P. 在 20 分钟的音乐和三下点击后,刚刚从 NRMA 挂断电话 – 接线员正在检查我是否还有耐心和生存意愿? 六位数的 PIN 码出现并消失,但没有 PIN 码出现打电话时第二次在手机上。 带有 ...

证券外汇

NAB 信用卡欺诈检测政策?

澳大利亚O.P.这篇文章已编辑 我已经成为 NAB 客户几十年了,直到现在我的 2x VISA 信用卡都没有出现任何问题,想知道这里是否有人在 NAB 或其他信用卡提供商那里遇到过这个问题。 最近,我将其 ...

证券外汇

400 万美元的巨额养老金余额仍在运作

澳大利亚O.P. 如果您有一笔非常大的退休金余额,但需要很多年才能提取它,您会怎么做? 这会如何改变您的生活? 如何改变您的生活?这会改变你的工作吗? 当你年轻且无法获得资金时,你会 ...

证券外汇

资本利得税

澳大利亚O.P. 我和妻子购买了土地,并以业主身份建造了我们的第一套房子。我们搬进来并在我们的房子里住了 19 个月,发布了出租广告,然后搬回了我父母的房子。 如果我在 6 年内搬回来,我 ...

证券外汇

便携式设备的独立保险?

澳大利亚O.P. 大家好, 我最近买了一支 Apple Pencil 和一台 iPad Air。我妈妈试图将它们添加到 NAB(由安联运营)的家庭和财物保单的便携式设备中,但他们说这会使保费增加约 300 美元。 我想知道 ...