澳洲美国强劲的就业市场和工资增长可能会在年中导

在澳大利亚证券外汇




内容就不译了,对证券外汇感兴趣的英文应该都很好。链接和原文见下:

请大家发表看法?

http://www.smh.com.au/business/m ... 0150207-138g1c.html

US job growth rose solidly in January and wages rebounded, a show of economic strength that put a mid-year interest rate increase from the Federal Reserve back on the table.

Nonfarm payrolls increased 257,000 last month, the Labor Department said on Friday, outstripping Wall Street forecasts.

At the same time, data for November and December was revised to show a whopping 147,000 more jobs created than previously reported, bolstering views consumers will have enough muscle to carry the economy through rough global seas.

"A mid-year lift-off in the interest rate is fait accompli ... there was good news on many fronts," said Sung Won Sohn, an economics professor at California State University Channel Islands in Camarillo.

At 423,000, November's gain was the largest for any month since May 2010, when employment was boosted by government hiring for a national census. Over the past three months, more than one million jobs have been created, the first time that milestone has been reached since late 1997.

The unemployment rate rose one-tenth of a per centage point to 5.7 per cent, but that was because Americans poured into the labor force to hunt for work in a show of increased confidence.

The dollar rallied against a basket of currencies and prices for US Treasury debt fell as investors brought forward bets on a rate hike. US stocks ended lower amid concerns over Greece's debt negotiations.

Rate futures shifted to show traders now expect a rate increase in September. Before the report, they were anticipating an October hike. Some top Fed officials have been pointing to a June policy tightening.

A Reuters survey of Wall Street's largest banks published after the data showed most economists expect a June take-off.

"Hundreds of thousands of discouraged workers were optimistic enough to start looking for work in January. Most Fed officials are likely to see this report as good reason to be nervous about potential economic overheating," said Chris Low, chief economist at FTN Financial in New York.

Wage gains quicken

January marked the 11th straight month of job gains above 200,000, the longest streak since 1994.

Sputtering growth overseas and lower oil prices have weighed onUS. exports and business investment, but the jobs report suggested the economy continued to be a bright spot in an otherwise gloomy world.

Wages increased 12 cents last month, the largest gain since June 2007, after falling five cents in December. That took the year-on-year gain to 2.2per centt, the fastest since August, but still below where Fed officials would like to see it.

TheUS. central bank, which has held benchmark borrowing costs near zero since December 2008, ramped up its assessment of the labor market last week, and economists said the jobs data raised the prospect it would push rates higher sooner, despite inflation running below its 2per centt target.

"Employment growth is clearly on fire and it's beginning to put upward pressure on wage growth," said Paul Ashworth, chiefUS. economist at Capital Economics in Toronto. "The Fed can't wait much longer in that environment."

Massive tailwind

The pick-up in wages is likely to combine with lower oil prices to provide a massive tailwind for consumer spending and keep the economy growing at a healthy clip.

In addition to the firmer wages and job growth, the labor force participation rate, or the share of working-age Americans who are employed or at least looking for a job, rose two-tenths of per centntage point to 62.per centnt.

The employment-to-population ratio rose to 59.per centnt, the highest since July 2009, from 59.per centnt in December.

But a broad measure of joblessness that includes people who want to work but have given up searching and those working part-time because they cannot find full-time employment rose to 11.per centnt from 11.per centnt in December.

In January, private payrolls increased by 267,000, while November and December private employment was revised higher. Private payroll gains in November were the largest since September 1997.

The manufacturing sector added 22,000 jobs last month, while construction payrolls increased 39,000. Oil and gas extraction employment, however, fell 1,900, reflecting layoffs connected to lower oil prices.

Retail employment increased 45,900 after braking sharply in December. Government payrolls fell 10,000, while transportation employment dropped 8,600, the first decline since last February.

Temporary staffing slipped 4,100, the first drop in a year.

The average workweek was steady at 34.6 hours.

Reuters


评论
下半年就等澳洲跟着升息了。

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头像漂亮,我也想砍!

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一直持谨慎态度对于美国可否成为一枝独秀在当今经济增长严重减缓,降息频现的国际大环境中。

评论

这句话严格符合英文语序   


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lz这贴应该是瞬间被喷的,无奈英文版,你懂的

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我看见一大群羊向悬崖走去。

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=qrz76_j9MRs

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指日可待。

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半年到一年就有分晓。拭目以待。

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应该一年以后见分晓。

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主席又要发表新的战斗檄文了!

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在他国基本面不变的情况下,升息会造成美元对其它主要货币的强劲上涨,出口受挫。

其他国家互相之间不怎么变化。尤其是汇率。

比如,澳元兑美元可能会继续下跌,但同时欧元、日元、人民币也下跌,这些币种之间的汇率变化不大,对贸易影响不多。

最后,只是从经济上把美国孤立起来了。谁让你丫不合群呢。

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米国光喊不加,纯粹在扯淡。我也想看看米国加息之后,有几个国家敢跟进的。以澳联储慢一拍的动作,绝对不可能是第一个跟进的。看看谁先跟?当然要米国打响这第一炮才行。

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别的不说,就说欧元区吧,大家都知道人家现在在干嘛,这节骨眼米国加息,让欧元区的小兄弟们怎么混?欧元跟着加息?希腊这个小兄弟怎么混?估计要学伊斯兰国了,绑几个人质赚外汇才是王道!

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都在说什么啊。完全没论点,就是本着自己有几套房,倒逼美联储不准加息,支持小弟欧盟降息侧面支援悉尼房价。带头大哥

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美联储年中会加息,不加的话它的信誉全无,但幅度会很小,节奏会很慢,最终利率在什么水平还是要看通胀,一旦通胀有反转上升趋势,各国央行都会迅速行动

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很久就想夸你,但没找到机会,今天到了,你这逗比,无论头像和发言都很牛。

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谢谢,那就真心希望山姆大叔能帮你实现梦想了。

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