新西兰The average price of a house in Auckland could rise to almos
在新西兰
The average price of a house in Auckland could rise to almost $3 million by 2040.
就是炸锅卖铁,现在也要把第一套房买到手--局势是越来越难。。。
文章按1999-2019增长模型推算:https://www.oneroof.co.nz/news/3 ... utm_content=generic
评论
继续做梦吧
评论
你发这个 会被这个论坛里的一个精神病患者骂死的
评论
先考虑下2040年你多大了。。。
评论
如果真涨到300万,那时候物价也肯定不是现在的水平了,看看中国过去30年的物价和房价就知道了
评论
20年涨200% 那2030年之前我的房贷就不值一提了? 感动的想哭
评论
哈哈哈。。。。。。。
见证了1999-2019过的。。。
啥都不要奇怪了。。。
评论
这个好像之前发过了吧
reddit上面也讨论过了https://www.reddit.com/r/newzeal ... nd_could_hit_3m_by/
评论
反正我是不信
评论
我觉得是可能的
评论
这个假设是社会安全,没有自然灾害,人口增长,通货膨胀长期为正,仍然资本主义的情况下才能发生。最好加个条件。
评论
其实,世界大战要是爆发的话,比如美国打中国,新西兰可能还是最安全的。。。哈哈!!!
评论
2040年, 太遥远了, 想不到这么久远的事情。
楼主就说一下未来5年的房价如何吧。
评论
嗯,据说2040年姚明就能长到20米以上。
评论
98年的时候,花30万买个房子,被旁边一群人说贵。现在那个房子价值快200万了。
评论
When Olly Newland was saying Auckland houses would hit $1million by average in 2010, everyone laughed and some fell off from the chair.
Now is the norm. So, who knows.
评论
20年涨200%,年化5.6%。如果按20%首付,5%平均利率算的话,相当于本金由1涨到7,年化10.2%。
评论
很久远的事了,谁知道呢……
评论
灰常可能。然鹅到时候面包$10 一个
评论
I do not wish property price come to $3m in 20 years time.
If it reached that price, then the gap between rich and poor would be so huge that a revolution should come.
I'll be happy if compound growth rate is at 3% for the next 20 years.
评论
3%可能会有点低哦,有点太保守了吧lease大神
评论
3%的话, 20年之后也要接近$2M了, 绝对价值不低了。
我的Point is: 不想贫富差距拉的太大, 到时候引发穷人闹革命。
评论
太难说了。
历史只能参考,毕竟时代大大的不同的。
或者来个第五次工业革命,大颠覆
或者继续做个偏僻的小国。。。
评论
You are right.
just that I am wondering when the property was $200K (median price) in Auckland, Were people thinking the same thing about the Wealth gap and grass-root revolution if it reached $500K, $800K, $1million?
We all want stabilities but things are moving fast in this era. Grass-root revolution will not be successful, they will be diffused by cheaper houses/apartments on the outskirt. They will move on to those houses and accept the reality of city evolution.
Houses with big sections within 5 KM radius will be rare. They are the potential to reach $2-3 million and only for the elites.
Happened in any Tier 1 cities before, it will happen here with the passes of time.
$1 million in the year 2000 can buy really good houses in Auckland, now can only buy a simple house in Glenfield. How cynical is that?
Chinese take-away was $8-9 (yr 2000) and now $12.50
评论
上一波(09-15年)有投资的人, 2030 均价能够到2M左右,应该卖俩房子,还清贷款就可以退休了,2040有点遥远。
评论
这次到了1M的时候,政治上已经算是一个警告了。
评论
不可能。房产投资要是这么简单,就不可能有日本的30年的不增长了。
评论
"不可能".
不要说的这么绝对。尽管我也不希望房价在20年后涨到$3M.
评论
In 10- 20 years time, what is the standard of Measurement?
Is it still money, USD?
Will there be a currency crisis? Is the current currency totally misplaced?
What you are holding "Cash" is just a concept that will be replaced in the debt crisis?
What will people talk about Cash in 10-20 years' time?
评论
击鼓传花,传到一定程度发现。。。没人接了。。。