新西兰如何防止被少数人洗脑


在新西兰



论坛上的有识之士已给出答案:  兼听则明

不翻译英文就是防止洗脑,自己work out


顺便放个我的预测:

1. 如果离开新西兰的人数保持目前持续下降的趋势,即使移民配额被大大削减,总净流入人口还是会处在高位。

2. 经济增长继续,势头产生了就没那么容易转向。世界各地局势不稳,新西兰和其货币都属于资源型,所以毫无疑问继续受到追捧。

3. 未来三年房价会继续攀升,增幅在5%~8%,2020年增幅加速。

Rising house prices is an international phenomenon, and no country or market has tamed it or has an answer


One thing which impacts the interest charged on mortgages is the Reserve Bank's Official Cash Rate, which is at a record low 1.75 per cent. The market expects this to go up late next year while the RBNZ's own forecasts suggest a rise in 2019.



正文:

Rising house prices a worldwide worry: Real estate boss

30 Oct, 2017 1:24pm
Nzherald


High house prices are a worldwide worry and no country has worked out how to tame them, says the boss of one of New Zealand's biggest real estate firms.

Peter Thompson, managing director of Barfoot & Thompson, recently attended a real estate symposium in Vienna with 160 of his counterparts from 22 different countries.

Thompson observed from the conference that fears over property bubbles or concerns that house prices had outpaced salaries were present across different markets.

"Rising house prices is an international phenomenon, and no country or market has tamed it or has an answer," Thompson said.


"All the delegates [at the symposium] reported their country was dealing with the exactly the same issues.

"The consensus opinion of delegates as to the key drivers for the rise in property prices was the ready availability of mortgage finance, the extended period of low interest rates and the switch the public has made to seeing residential property as a 'safe haven' rather than as an 'investment'.

"Worldwide people have reached the conclusion that with returns on term investments and bonds being so low, over the median term, residential property represents a far sounder place to keep your money.

Growth in the New Zealand house market has slowed considerably in recent months, although prices have risen year-on-year.

Median house prices overall were up 1.2 per cent in the year to September at $525,000, according to the Real Estate Institute of NZ.

In Auckland, the median house price was up 5.7 per cent over the same 12-month period to $845,000.

Thompson said that despite different attempts at regulation - such as capital gains tax, bans on foreign buyers or stricter requirements to get loans - prices were rising year-on-year around the world

"No one, or combination of measures, has held back price rises.

"Each market has its commentators predicting price crashes, but not one market has experienced a major price downturn.

"While we think of markets such as Sydney, Auckland and Melbourne going ahead in leaps and bounds, they are not on the radar of international buyers. In Europe the real hot spots are London, Paris, Berlin, Amsterdam, Copenhagen and Milan.

"The message I took from the symposium is that until mortgage interest rates increase significantly, high residential property prices around the world is something we are likely to have to learn to live with," he said.

One thing which impacts the interest charged on mortgages is the Reserve Bank's Official Cash Rate, which is at a record low 1.75 per cent. The market expects this to go up late next year while the RBNZ's own forecasts suggest a rise in 2019.

The OCR is just one influence over what happens to interest rates. There are others, including demand for mortgage finance and overseas funding costs - largely influenced by the US Federal Reserve.

Expectations are that the Fed will raise rates three times next year, but there remains conjecture as to when or if the bank will move.



评论
不是我不想听啊,你写这么多英文,不给翻译一下我哪知道啥意思哈哈

评论
一句话,啥时候腰斩。。。。

评论
i cant read in English buddy

评论
看看呗,如果lz说的是真的那肯定涨

评论

今晚不腰斩,那就是明晚

评论
等待 等待                  

评论
肯定跌不了,等工党耍三年下台以后又是一波暴涨



评论


大家看看你房价跌40%的那帖,就知道疯的是谁了。你确实好有勇气,我就服你。

Kingslanding随便你烧,房价一准跌100%。

评论

跌价100%, 给我来100个!!跌90%来99个

评论
坐看。。。

评论
没房客住,利息升高的话,放出来的房子,不就是那些垃圾房嘛,自住房为啥要放,给个理由吧。。。

评论
呵呵,一直涨下去?只涨不跌的房市?在新西兰?可能吗?稍微动动脑子好吗!要是脑子实在不好用就用屁股想也行啊

评论
腰斩哥至今还在沙滩上躺尸。。。。。。谁是下一个腰斩哥

评论
你写这么多英文我看不懂啊。贴不是白编了木。所以还是翻译一下吧

评论

好佩服你哦。屁股可以想事情

评论

就是。就算要抛也是选最差的抛

评论

白菜价就给我来个几百公斤的。不过, 这会白菜贵, 还是减少到几十公斤吧

评论

至少我知道屁眼可以发声音哒,而且时而威力好大好大的嘞。。哈哈哈哈哈

评论

扑扑       是这样吗

评论
讨论这些没有意义,房地产玩的就是资金和判断。资金是根本,资金是保障。没有资金都是瞎掰。

评论

下次录音给你,哈哈哈哈哈

评论

都折扣100%免费, 难道还要倒贴啊

评论

我豪啊        

评论


确实不可能一直涨下去,你讲要看历史,那过去历史证明在这种低利率环境,很难下跌。其次,目前全球环境就是这样,持续上涨一波接一波,完全是印钱的后果。事实是还在不停地印钱。

无意说房市非要不停上涨,但是这是实际情况,全球皆然。

评论

有资金有时间耗就稳赚不赔,不是说从七十年代以来翻了65倍了吗,再过50年没准儿又一个65倍

评论

还有人用来赚钱

新西兰房产

震惊!原来倒灌党全都偷偷买房了!

新西兰某倒灌党大V竟然亲口承认自己已经有房了!宣传裸斩就是为了自己下一套投资房抄底!最可悲的是本打算买自住房却没主见被人当枪使最后还说声谢谢啊。 评论 刚需一直都存在,无非 ...

新西兰房产

银行也纠错?改变短期房价预测

新西兰BNZ drastically lowers house price forecast, says market had 'false start' 这个时候突然意识到了问题所在?之前不是四大行天天喊今年增长2-5% 吗? 才一个月不到就出来承认错误了? 评论 The predictio ...

新西兰房产

求指教:关于房贷利率重新锁定

新西兰谢谢了先~~ 房贷一直放在ANZ六七年了。下个月需要重新锁定房贷,请问明白人,是到期之前自己选择一个ANZ的一年期(目前好像7.14)?还是找贷款中介选一个ANZ的? 或者,请贷款中介帮 ...

新西兰房产

利率不变,准备加息

新西兰https://www.interest.co.nz/economy/127861/reserve-bank-has-left-official-cash-rate-unchanged-55-noting-domestic-inflation-slow 奄奄一息,仍要加息 评论 希望真的能加息,早死早超生。 评论 刁民!妖言惑众,煽乱房 ...

新西兰房产

811个月定存涨到了6.4%

新西兰另外MILFORD ASSETS MANAGEMENT还有一款旗舰产品,不是KIWISAVER, 不是KIWISAVER, 不是KIWISAVER。 是INVESTMENT FUND, 连续十年稳定增长。 10年收益164.02%, 年化收益率是14.02%。如果家里有老人的,你懂 ...

新西兰房产

都说房价房市爹爹爹

新西兰但我看基督城房市很好呀 很多再盖 wigram mall旁边已经开工 几十套貌似卖掉了大部分 评论 基督城房价低,付了20%首付以后,贷款也就50-70万,基本没有压力。奥克兰这几年买house的,随便 ...

新西兰房产

请教关于City的公寓

新西兰孩子要去city上学,想买个小的apartment,但是听说很多apartment都有问题啊,漏水什么的,还有产权都是租赁的, 有没有过来人分享一些信息呢,能不能买,哪个楼盘省心一些,或者还是租 ...

新西兰房产

mlgb的联储和央行

新西兰文中说的服务性通胀就是我们所说的NON TRADEABLE INFLATION 所有国家都这个样子,主要是中央政府和地方政府效率低下,导致地方债务常年堆积,必须涨RATES来增加营收,不然地方政府怕破产 ...

新西兰房产

不谈房,就说说不跟风美国的日本

新西兰这些东西太高大上,草民的我看不懂 评论 砖家说了 崩盘又要开始了,坐稳了 定存什么的,锁在最高点,或者找剑客买基金。 妥妥活镰刀,等危机过去,全球都是优质资产。 哈哈哈哈 ...

新西兰房产

怎么知道附近房子卖出了多少钱?

新西兰怎么知道附近房子卖出了多少钱?怎么估算自己的房子在当前能卖多少钱?有什么网站可看吗? 评论 realestate.co.nz。找个中介最直接,因为房子之间差异很大,一般人不明白,你自己估 ...

新西兰房产

重磅!重磅!重磅!DTI来了

新西兰https://www.interest.co.nz/personal-finance/127974/reserve-bank-says-banks-will-have-comply-new-dti-rules-july-1-while-loan new DTI the banks will have to adhere to: 20% of new owner-occupier lending to borrowers with a DTI ratio over 6; and ...