在新西兰
Has the Auckland market reached its price limit?
Wednesday 5 August 2015
Auckland house price increases stalled in July which could indicate the market is fully priced, according to one of the SuperCity’s leading agencies.
By Miriam Bell
Barfoot & Thompson’s data for July shows that Auckland’s average sales price is at $827,359 - much the same as it has been for the past couple of months.
In June the average sales price was $826, 474.
Barfoot & Thompson managing director Peter Thompson said this meant July’s average sales price was within $1000 of that for June and only $5000 ahead of that for May.
“A stable average price over a three-month period is a trend we have not witnessed for some time.”
However, Auckland house sales activity was at its highest in more than 15 years during July.
Barfoot & Thompson’s July sales figure was 4.5% higher than in July 2003 - which is the year previously considered the most active on record.
Thompson said the combination of high turnover and stable price pointed to buyer confidence in the strength of the market at current prices.
It is also recognition that property is fully priced.
He said the last three months of trading demonstrated hat high sales numbers could be sustained without prices increasing.
“The first signs that price increases were slowing could be seen in last month’s sales figures, and this month’s results confirm that prices are no longer racing ahead.
“In fact, the median price in July at $757,000 is down $29,000 on that for June, but up $7000 on that for May.”
Over July, interest in property in the under-$500,000 category rallied, Thompson added.
“Sales numbers represented 14.4% of all sales, whereas in June sales of properties under $500,000 fell to 13.6% of sales.”
The agency’s total listings of 2802 at month’s end were at their lowest since December last year.
This means supply, and therefore buyer choice, will remain tight during August.
http://www.landlords.co.nz/article/5455/has-the-auckland-market-reached-its-price-limit
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My answer for the question is: probably yes.
Auckland property price may still go up, but not up that crazy.
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barfoot自己都说activity 15年最高啊，我不觉得到顶了哈哈
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我也没说到顶啊， 我只是觉得涨幅不会象前两年那么疯狂了。
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涨慢点好，起码我可以慢慢看慢慢选。。。嘿嘿
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好，这样买投资房可以慢慢挑好的不用着急了
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price limit? 呵呵。。。 我看得等bubble burst吧？》
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我觉得现在总体来说就不该买投资房，房租太tm便宜了，也涨不上去
当然，少数捡漏的另算
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I think so too.
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I agree.........
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恩，我也觉得涨幅不会象前两年那么疯狂
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得要看利率降到那里吧。
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还能再疯狂一段时间
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回报率还会走低的，低到2。5%估计就差不多了。现在还有很多4点几呢，不怕
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现在应该是平稳地慢慢地涨了。
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不要涨那么快，买自住的伤不起，对我这种穷人来说，可以买一间就不错了
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今天看全福地的大地大房，还是吃香啊。其实疯涨都不能算2年，应该是从去年11月开始。之前都很平稳。去年这时候还能买到13年底的价格。现在你想买去年年底的价格，真是做梦了。
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2.5%
你们是非盼着硬着陆是不是
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聽說在香港房價過去幾十年漲了一百倍，當然那環境跟Auckland不一樣，不過Auckland潛力還是很高的，只要人口增長，房子永遠有更多的需求，不過只要有在蓋房，Supply也會增長。一個大問題就是康嫂把關太嚴，速度太慢，費用太高
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快牛到慢牛的切换， 水会溢出，去别的城市。
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慢慢涨好 房租涨的不慢了现在 跟着房租涨就ok
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国内很多城市连2。5%都没有。
现在的趋势是，房子继续涨，房租不涨而且还有下跌风险。你去看看trademe租房的有多少租不出去。我比较关注东区，好点的租700-800的三房市场反应不好，便宜的450-500的一堆租不掉，现在600+全副地东区3房怎么也都85+了吧至少，500都租不出去啊。可是房价还再涨啊。等涨到100万估计也就租500左右，就在2%附近，那之后能不能涨了就看了。很多不说17-18年开跌吗，我觉得当回报率跌到2-2。5%的时候差不多了就 。
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会那么低吗?现在的房子有那么不好出租吗?