在新西兰
Immigration predicted to add housing pressure
3 News 16/05/2014
First home buyers got nothing in the Budget except a warning: you could soon have even more competition finding a home.
Immigration is predicted to blowout, adding further pressure to the Auckland housing market.
First home buyer Bridget Lysaght tuned into the Budget, hoping for some help.
She has been on the hunt for a home in Auckland for a year-and-a-half.
Ms Lysaght's verdict is that she didn’t feel there was anything in the Budget for her today.
"I know a lot of people struggling to buy their first homes, so I would have expected there to be at least something in there," she says.
Even Minister of Finance Bill English agrees.
"The question, is [it] enough for first home buyers? Well I think if you ask any first home buyer they would say no," he says.
On top of that, Treasury is now warning an immigration explosion is on the way, which could add to Auckland's housing
problems.
That is because more people are arriving and fewer leaving. That means the original forecast of an extra $26,000 added to the population this year is now predicted to blow out to 38,000.
It has warned that could be as high as 41,500. That is an increase to our population the size of Wanganui each year.
New Zealand First's Winston Peters' solution is to send immigrants to the regions.
Urgent legislation will be introduced to Parliament tonight to make building a home cheaper.
The legislation will get rid of most import taxes on building materials - removing $5.5 million worth of tax each year. It is estimated to save $3500 when building a home.
Read more: http://www.3news.co.nz/Immigration-predicted-to-add-housing-pressure/tabid/1607/articleID/344382/Default.aspx#ixzz31pHUgVwk
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38000移民， 以3口之家计算，需要约13000套房子。如果他们当中70%决定定居在Auckland, 那么这些移民就有9000房子的需求. Auckland到今年3月的一年里Building Consents 只有6922. 本来就已经供不应求了， 另外再加上这些移民额外的需求， 房屋供应可以说大大的不够。
当大量移民涌入Auckland的时候， 将是本轮房地产牛市第三期的开始。
让我们静候这一时期的到来。
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She has been on the hunt for a home in Auckland for a year-and-a-half.
Ms Lysaght's verdict is that she didn’t feel there was anything in the Budget for her today.
看了一年半了还是没买 买不起还是买不起
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everything has a tipping point
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thats waht reserve bank trying to avoid
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其实,净移民中的相当部分已在这里买房了,只不过原来是别的签证变成PR而已(尤其是来自中国的?)
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The question is: when?
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是啊，一年半前她看房时也许还可以买到，但是房价每年涨，每月涨，现在的房价根本不是一年半前的房价了，所有还是那句话，该买房的继续买，该等的继续等，呵呵
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其实，移民数字没有这个有意思
http://www.scoop.co.nz/stories/B ... l-china-flights.htm
Auckland Airport welcomes additional China Flights
Auckland Airport welcomes additional China Southern Airlines flights on Guangzhou to Auckland route
Auckland Airport has welcomed the decision by China Southern Airlines to extend its offering of 10 flights per week on the Guangzhou to Auckland route until 30 October 2014.
China Southern Airlines announced last year that it was increasing the number of weekly flights on this route from seven to ten over the 2013 / 2014 peak summer period. Due to continued strong demand for this service and growth of the Canton route services, China Southern Airlines has made the decision to extend this period.
The additional flights will see an extra 45,000 seats on the Guangzhou to Auckland route during the extended period of 28 February to 30 October 2014, which will be serviced by the new Boeing 787 aircraft.
..............
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哇，这个确实有意义。土豪们边旅游边买房，呵呵。