新西兰昨天美国股市道指暴跌逾320点,看来房市又要热
在新西兰
昨天耶伦就职美联储主席,然后不争气的美国股市道指暴跌逾320点,上星期开始道指狂跌, NZ央行想加息很久了,但是事情发展有时又不是你想象中的那样,看来今年美国股市将难逃一劫, 房市还要热!
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oh yeah!
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buy buy buy!
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怪不得新币暴跌
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记得08年美国股市暴跌的时候,新西兰楼市没有暴涨啊!
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啥逻辑呢,美国股市跌,跟新西兰的房地产关系稍微点远吧,而且短期新闻刺激,更没影响了,如果真的是长期大跌,像08年 ,我想会更不利于房产吧。。。。
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圍觀中。。
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我估计美储联这次退qe不会一帆风顺的,老伯再减了一次,轻松走人了。伦大妈可能会延迟退qe的时间,的超级低的利率。欧洲和澳洲都会跟着老美走,所以,如果新西兰3月加息,那一定是所有发达国家第一个加息的。但是,在这样的情形下,小弟估计加息也不是100% sure
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who knows
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emerging markets ( Russia, india, argentina, south Africa ) increase interest to save declining currencies.
hot money is now been sucked out from those countries, expect money to be more expensive.
Do not forget 1988's asia financial crisis started from currencies devaluation and outflow of hot money from emerging markets.
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那到底是看跌还是看涨?会加息不??
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Money will be more expensive , most of nz money are not from depositors but from overseas.
If bank's money is going to be more expensive, it will pass on to borrowers......
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恩, 眼瞅着利息要涨了。。。。
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Black swan theory = English man will never believe there is black swan, they were bought up to believe all swan is white.
Well, in the last few years, most countries benefited from USA's printing money ( rising stocks, rising real estate ), once the printing is stopped, there is some repercussion / consequences..... yet to see.
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It's unlikely those emerging markets don't learn the expensive lessons. Just like NZ banks, now it's much harder to get bank loan than the time of last early property boom(2003 or 2004).
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那是因为房产本身出了问题,次贷危机,这次不是这个问题
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房地产和股票是2大投资工具,当然投资工具还有很多,如果股市不好,投资者会将资金投向其它低风险的地方来避险,比如房产就是。
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我同学6年前在美国抄底买了5个房子,现在吊丝成功逆转
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等涨了再说吧,叫涨很多年了
最近固定期限的银行利率又有松动