新西兰ZT: 哇塞，这刚需看来还真是杠杠的，Wintec怎么看

在新西兰

Wintec别骂我，我只是转个所谓智囊团The New Zealand Initiative的报告。看来这个还真的是刚需，一年还得增加3万套左右的房子？？？真的假的？现在也没多少人睡大街上，哪来那么多人需要房子？哈哈！！！

New Report Highlights How Our Housing Crisis Could Worsen If We Don’t Act Now
https://www.scoop.co.nz/stories/PO2102/S00170/new-report-highlights-how-our-housing-crisis-could-worsen-if-we-dont-act-now.htm

Tuesday, 23 February 2021, 5:58 am
Press Release: The New Zealand Initiative


If New Zealand politicians thought the housing crisis in 2020 was bad, the worst is yet to come, warns a new report by The New Zealand Initiative.

In The Need to Build: The demographic drivers of housing demand, Research Assistant Leonard Hong modelled 36 scenarios and found that New Zealand’s population gets older and larger by 2038.

Hong calculated that the number of additional dwellings needed would reach between 26,246 and 34,556 annually under the most plausible scenarios. This excludes the annual housing replacement and demolition rate, and the current 40,000 undersupply calculated by Informetrics.

“Historical data tells us that only 21,445 new houses have been built in New Zealand annually since 1992. This is nowhere near enough to accommodate our growing population,” says Hong.

For the next 20 years, even with zero net migration, we still need to build close to 20,000 dwellings annually to keep up with population changes.

“Policymakers should stop blaming the housing crisis on land banking investment and speculation and find policy solutions to drastically expand housing supply to keep up with demographic changes.”

Demographic changes will also have adverse effects on our prospects for fiscal prudence. The report demonstrates that the number of those over 65 years will be up by at least 23% in 2060.

This means fewer future taxpayers and more pressure on working-age New Zealanders to fund public services such as health care and education.

“Our future is an older and larger New Zealand and we must start preparing for it,” says Leonard Hong.

“We need to make a growing and ageing New Zealand a liveable place for New Zealanders, and this starts by building more houses now. Otherwise, future generations will have to deal with terrible housing affordability prospects.”

“This report should be a wake-up call for the government,” concludes Leonard Hong.



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某知名洋人建商说看不到需求在2025年之前下降

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Leonard Hong... ... Asian sounding name , 肯定说房价涨了。

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wintec 今天不在？？？

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Winte-c 在， wintec 已死，有事烧纸

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很明显砖家在胡说八道。。

一年再建十万套也是不够的。



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呵呵，看你们傻多整天疯疯癫癫的，怎么舍的走。 大把人在等你们跳了后，接盘你们房子和女人呢。

房价房租不崩，边境一放开，大批人离开，在这里干嘛？ 做接盘侠，同样工作，其他地方工资高，房价物价低，生活丰富，傻子才不走。 还想靠移民，看看现在的阿三，批准一个，全家人汇合，一人工作全家拿福利，生小孩。



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到时候看你走不走，你不走就是傻子啦