新西兰如果纽西兰央行宣布一夜加息300基点
在新西兰
下面大家自由发挥
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吃豆腐脑？？？
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跟我没啥关系
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央行是脑子进水了吗
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没房贷没这个压力 哈
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纽西兰经济结构单一 工业品 粮食严重依赖进口，比那些新兴国家又能好到哪里去？
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不如說紐西蘭一夜間決定除消所有移民申請
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全世界的钱都会存到新西兰来！
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移民是楼市推动因素之一，不是前提条件。因为非移民落地的城市 楼市炒的也厉害 都是因为泛滥的廉价资金 吸引众人利用杠杆去投机。一旦廉价资金时代结束 成本上升 杠杆收紧 靠那些自住需求 根本推不动楼市。
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2003- 2007 -----> higher interest, affordable mortgage
2010- 2016 ------->low interest, high mortgage.
This is the territory we have not gone through, that is why a lot of banks are reversing the gear now.
They are scared because the money is from them.
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they should be fine as long as the market itself doesn't go into reverse gear...haha
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基数不同 贷款15万利率6和贷款100万 利率4，哪个更恐怖？
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what will happen if " black swan ( Trump) " win the election. Republican is into high inflationary policy which mean higher interest and higher US dollar.
There is a possibility of this black swan happening, although remote.
Just like Brexit, the undercurrent was too strong to ignore.
People in the Polls business all have vested interest, what was published was not actual market position. NZ Stock market is showing sign of selling off ( last 2 days, 170 points) factoring this remote possibility of Trump "might win".
Most of NZ banks money come from overseas ( there is little saving in the domestic market), it will only take a little while for the bank to raise interest rate once money is in short supply and becoming more expensive.
Forget the OCR, the money belongs to the privately owned banks ( aussie), not reserve bank. haha.
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haha，I really hope Trump wins next week. Would be interesting to see how the world is going to react.
But I don't think he is going to win, so...
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老kiwi很多经历过20%房贷利率，不过那时候房子也就几万一栋。 放到现在不可想象
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行长下台, 因为出现通缩.