在新西兰
Australia six weeks from a housing collapse, US report warns
http://www.nzherald.co.nz/business/news/article.cfm?c_id=3&objectid=11708064
Australia has roughly "six weeks" to prevent a housing market collapse caused by the banks' crackdown on foreign investor lending, a US defence think tank has warned.
In an article titled "Australia Risks Strategic Setback From a Significant Foreign Direct Investment Drop Due to Changes in Bank Policies", the Washington-based International Strategic Studies Association warns that Australia "may be entering a significant phase of its economic-strategic development".
It argues "changes in local banking policies" could see foreign direct investment in the property sector "decline markedly". "This will profoundly impact the Australian government's ability to fund major programs in the defence and civil sectors," it said.
The article is contained in the ISSA's latest Global Information System newsletter, described as a "strategic intelligence service for use only by governments".
"The Royal Australian Navy's submarine acquisition program, budgeted at $50 billion, may be the first major defence casualty," the article said.
"However, the government itself seems unaware that the anticipatory caution on the part of Australian banks may accelerate a decline in the Australian economy."
ISSA president, West Australian-born Gregory Copley, told news.com.au the "banks' caution is precipitating the market collapse".
"We estimate that Australia has about six weeks or so to turn this situation around, otherwise there would be a massive hit on property valuations and the building trades," he said.
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It comes after Australia's richest man, billionaire property developer Harry Triguboff, warned that a "very significant" number of Chinese buyers were now failing to settle their off-the-plan units and urgent action was needed.
Triguboff, founder of Australia's biggest apartment builder Meriton, warned the real risk was looming in the new wave of developments. As apartment price growth stalls or goes backwards, the risk of buyers walking away from their deposits grows.
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怪不得澳洲的开发商要来这里推销,原来他们的公寓市场已经这么惨了??
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崩了好,到时可以把奥克兰房子卖了 到澳洲去全款买房,一下子就不要烦还款问题了。至少也要等到澳洲房子是奥克兰房子一半左右才可以
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真的假的...........
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为什么要等六周?
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澳洲崩了NZ立马儿跟上,等不到你卖了。。。哈哈
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为什么要等 6周
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看看美国房价崩盘的2007/08年,和现在新西兰房价的走势何其相似
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没事,只要那些坚持说新西兰奥克兰房价不会跌的人多了,奥克兰房价就会坚持一段时间的。只要澳洲房价跌的够快就行了。6周我觉得很好,够快
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如果澳洲要跌,新西兰的房价跌也不远了,做好2手准备不会错的
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写的非常好的文章,银行紧缩贷款绝对是双刃剑,打压房价打得太猛势必会酿成整体市场的恐慌。
新西兰现在也是一样,银行的政策对于海外买家打击力度太大,还没买到房的客人最多就是不买了,可这对于已购买预售盘,或者等着交割建房的客人将是不可治愈的问题,纷纷跑去非银行金融公司高额贷款。金融公司的资金是有限的,对借款风险的把握也是非常严格的,当金融公司停止放款的时候,那抛盘对于市场的整体影响将会是不可控的
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还好只有3%的房子卖给了海外买家,影响不大!
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US stock market crashed today....
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3%这个数据有很大学问,因为只要有pr的人就算“本地买家”,大部分没有住在本地有pr的人全算“本地买家”。
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奥克兰房价不会跌的,澳洲自从关闭移民大门,房价就一蹶不振
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准确的说,那个统计把所有在新西兰的买家都算是本地买家,不管是学签工签都和 pr 还有 citizen 一样算本地买家…
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Pr和citizen本来就是本地买家吧
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新西兰唱的是“我家大门常打开,欢迎更多移民”,澳洲是相对收紧移民。
其实新西兰确实需要移民,如果没有移民,估计还不如现在呢。
人多,自然房子不够住,政府又不给力,其他城市基建不发达,人口都集中在奥克兰,一家独大。
看看奥克兰占新西兰的人口比例。
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准确的说是29%,那些没有PR只是拿学签或工签的人也应该算上
那个3%是只要你人在NZ买房,就都算作本地买家
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哥们。。。
PR和citizen都不算本地买家的话。。。
那么本地买家是啥啊???!!!
空气吗???!!!
你不会是认为kiwi不是citizen吧???!!!
还是你认为毛利不是citizen???!!!
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pr 还有 citizen 当然是本地买家,但是学签工签也算成本地买家了。你认为应该把学签工签也算出本地买家吗?
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这你就要看回政府是怎么定义本地买家了。。。
如果是以有合理合法的签证留在新西兰 并且期限在政府规定以内 例如超过一年都定义为本地买家的话。。。
那持有两年甚至更长的学签工签的人 都归纳为本地买家 也无可厚非。。。
而且我觉得拿学签工签买房子的人 对于银行来说 负债 破产可能性 比PR Citizen 要低很多。。。
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六周很快了,已经过一周了,再等五周看分晓
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澳洲的公寓市场好惨
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做做梦,挺好!
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两周啦,坐等澳洲崩盘
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你家领导意见如何。
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說好的崩盤, 還有4周呢
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我家领导让我再买一套,可惜我没有子弹了
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请示领导拨款啊