新西兰低利率下的AUCKLAND房子(价)并没比平均水平更不
在新西兰
见文章:http://www.interest.co.nz/opinio ... rices-and-therefore
几个要点:
1)no housing affordability problem-“When I look at interest costs faced by new buyers in Auckland and nationally as percentages of incomes” “Low interest rates have made housing as affordable for new buyers in Auckland as has been the case on average since 1992, while in the rest of the country housing costs, in terms of interest outlays as a percentage of incomes for new buyers, are below average.”
2)Low interest costs largely justify high house prices relative to incomes;
3) What happens to interest rates will ultimately be of most importance to house price behaviour, with what happens to migration of secondary importance, as covered in our pay-to-view housing reports.
低利率,低通胀率,低失业率(?)--房价想跌的多,那是。。。。?
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这种文章的主旨就是为了找一个利率和房价之间的关系,有意识的忽略掉整体M2总量的供应,通胀和低ORC三者之间的矛盾。兜着圈子半天就为了说房价高是利率低造成的。就像我看这个一个售价88块的鞋子,非说卖鞋的是水星人一样。
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这个就像是用低压热水灌的房子,政府在拧那个减压阀的螺丝,想找个平衡,拧太紧或太松水压都没法平衡
问题就是新西兰太落后,还在用低压热水罐。。。哈哈
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瞎扯吧你。。。。。明明是kiwi太娇嫩了,习惯冷水洗澡不就解决了?
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这篇文章好长,好有看头。。。。
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是,好多的chart。
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我也是学经济的,实在没看出来这个主旨啊?不就是说,虽然房子价钱贵,但是由于利率低,可负担性很好嘛?事实不就是这么回事吗?它并没有说,房价高,是低利率造成的。2012年2013年,利率不是很低啊,那个时候也涨啦。反而是最近不涨了,最近利率多低呀。不过我确实没看这文章,只看楼主贴了。