在新西兰
http://money.china2au.com/realestate/2015-01-21/192263.shtml
是不是真的啊，要不要等一段时间观望观望呢？
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不是没有可能，各说各的，各听各的咯
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他说得很清楚： 他不知道何时会跌。
他这种屁话谁不会说。 我也知道这样涨下去房价肯定会跌。 但是， 你想一想， 如果从现在开始， 每年房价再涨15%， 连涨三年， 然后再跌25%， 那样你等到跌25%之后的房价依然要比现在高很多。
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房价必须腰斩，建议楼主继续观望，把租约续的久一点
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谁知道是不是真的呢，各种预言，有的实现了有的没有
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是真的,一定要再等等,活久一点,肯定可以等到房价跌的那一天的,要有信心.
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真心觉得难
现在地都贵了
房价怎么可能降呢
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求崩盘
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this is the original article
http://www.interest.co.nz/news/7 ... house-price-correct
very interesting comments below........
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哈哈，楼主一如既往啊.........
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this is more realistic
"Our forecast has been for declines of 2 per cent per annum in 2017 and 3 per cent in 2018 so 5 per cent overall. But there's a wide range of possibilities and a sharper decline is certainly a possibility.
http://www.nzherald.co.nz/busine ... p;objectid=11390163
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心诚则灵
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是啊 我也可以做专家了 我比他还会说 哪个国家的都会说 哪个汇率也都会说 反正什么都会跌 就是不知道时间 他能说个几年之内也好啊 啥也不知道就说跌 估计他也在偷偷买房呢
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this is very real............
but buy now =+ 8% in 2015 and 7% up in 2016 then drop 5%
看brian那个新闻的跟帖
by Boatman | 21 Jan 15, 2:27pm
Maybe house prices will fall 25 % ..........If all of the thing listed below , happen
- Immigration of over 1000 new people each and every week comes to a complete stop .
- Asian buyers who raise money at 3% in Hong Kong are stopped from buying here
- Interest rates double, and
- Banks stop lending recklessly on overpriced houses , and
- Banks run out of QE money that has arrived here , to lend
- Auckland council allows the orderly development of the city , instead of restricting the city limits in some arbitrary line around it .
- Auckland Council stops charging $100,000 in a list of fees taxes and other charges to subdivide a section
- If Auckland Council's Watercare unit stops rorting everyone and charging $12,000 for a $600 water meter .
Len Brown needs to keep his focus on the city's development problems instead of young Asian babes , gets rid of the pie in the sky dumb ideas that will bankrupt us , and keeps his you- know - what in his trousers
Realistically , none of the above will happen , so we are faced with more of the same for some time
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haha, and this one
nterest.co.nz needs to utilise better 'predictors'. Maybe someone with a ouija board, or seeking the opinions of pupils at the local intermediate school would yield better results.
Bernard Hickey loudly 'predicted' in 2008/2009 that Auckland house prices would fall by 30 percent.
Oh yeah, they fell by 11 - 13 percent according to official bank and industry stats.
Ooops part I
Then the same Mr Hickey forecast in 2009 that Auckland house prices would not recover their value untl 2020.
Oh yeah, they actually recovered their value by 2012/13.
Oooops part II.
So, obviously now with little to no credibility, interest.co.nz has found another patsy to make outrageous headline grabbing claims.
We waite for Oooops parrt III
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oooops
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才百分之二十五，最乐观也是腰斩吧。
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这个都是时间问题
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纽币兑美金跌破0.75的支撑以后，现在朝着0.70进发，如果真达到0.7，那么纽币对RMB会达到4.3，大家拭目以待啊
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都闪闪，专家来了，砖家也来了
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嗯，人家不算专家，就是个milford asset fund 的基金经理罢了！过去1，2年funds 也就新西兰基金做的最好的一个而已！大家把kiwisaver放milford 的都转出来吧？这样的专家没有什么，不如这里的砖家。
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当然不如这里的专家，我们拒绝谨小慎微的预测，我们是忽略小数点的：要么上涨100%要么下降100%，25%？！一边玩去。
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人家怎么说的
“房价也许会回调10%、15%、20%，或者甚至25%”
也许，或者。。。。
而且前提是先要涨个两年，他有说每年会涨多少吗？
先每年15%，然后“也许”来个回调10%，那他的话就没说错。。。。。
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跌回 2007 年
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房价不是不倒, 時間未到？？
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匯率因素發酵中.
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整体趋势还是会涨 降也是小幅度短期回落 资源就那么多 需求量只增不减 你拿什么让他大跌
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啥都不用看，我一看这个名字，我就知道他潜台词：
来吧，来吧，别投资房地产行了，把钱放来我的Milford fund Kiwisaver 里头吧。
多高明的广告啊
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今天一重磅新闻，欧元区终于开始正式QE了。这样的话美欧日央行就同步了。接下来看看人民币是不是能和欧元正式互换，估计很难。
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美国已经退出QE了。