在新西兰
It's the second consecutive day of very quiet action in the currency markets with most majors trading in 20 pip ranges through Asian and early European sessions as markets geared themselves up for a much busier economic event calendar towards the end of the week. The one exception to the general complacency was the kiwi which tumbled further after Fonterra, the world's largest exporter of dairy announced their payout numbers overnight.
Fonterra announced that it is paying out NZD 6/kg citing that dairy prices fell 34% in global auctions since February. Last year the company paid out NZD 8.40/kg so this years payout is a major reduction in revenue with some analysts estimating that it could reduce the country's GDP by 0.4%.
The news instantly sent the kiwi lower, although the pair has managed to hold above the key .8500 level so far. The very weak payout by Fonterra is likely to reinforce the view of kiwi bears that RBNZ hikes may have come to an end. Unless demand for New Zealand's dairy picks up markedly over the next few months, the RBNZ is likely to remain stationary for the foreseeable future as the toxic combination of high exchange rates and slowing global demand for the country's principal export product is likely to weigh on growth over the next few quarters.
（唐僧点评：乳制品价格大跌，很可能影响新西兰GDP，导致央行有可能考虑刺激经济或至少不再涨息恶化经济）
The kiwi therefore remains vulnerable to further selloffs as traders adjust their interest rate expectations. For now, the pair has found some support ahead of the .8500 level which buyers likely protecting some option related activity, but over the next several days NZD/USD could drift lower towards .8400 as speculators bail out of the trade.
（唐僧点评：纽币从本月中旬开始跌势，已从对美元0.88跌到0.85。累计跌幅达到了3.5%。很有可能继续跌。给海外房产投资者和新移民减轻了负担。不要小看了汇率变化的影响，最近几个朋友买房都在对高汇率叫苦连天。）
注：本文摘自Investing.com，作者为有20年经验的资深市场分析师Mr. Boris Schlossberg
以上就是本期新闻分析和点评，希望大家各抒己见。也欢迎提出问题。我都会尽量一一解答。
评论
艾玛，啥时候才能涨到10%啊？啥时候才能崩盘啊
评论
汇率今天跌到 .85一下了。。
评论
我就赶脚 超过.84 就不健康。。。。
评论
0.85 到 0.851是个阻力位 不过反弹的话也没有什么数据支撑
评论
现在又回到0。8511 了
评论
师傅， 您能念咒要它快点跌多点吗？
评论
啊。。。南无快点跌 南无快点跌。。。。。。
评论
谢过师傅
评论
对啊,天天盼日日盼啊~~~~~~~
评论
OCR可能涨到头了,这个是旧闻了啊，师傅给你加一条，新CV10月份左右出来后，又是给火热的房市火上浇油啊
评论
这下子房价没的跌了。
评论
有点作用，不会太大。
评论
关键是卖方不会便宜卖
评论
对，卖方期望值太高。这房价没的跌。
评论
没有 之前一直预期还要涨0.25%今年
评论
同意 我也不觉得新的CV有什么大用
评论
大师高明。
评论
师傅明鉴,不过2011年那次CV出来，给后面几年房价拉伸了不少啊
评论
这是真的。
评论
现在大家已经习惯不看cv了
评论
师傅高明师傅高明
评论
不会吧，阿铁哥每次出来总是CV多少。。。。最后多少卖了的
评论
师傅啊， 纽币兑美金还是0。8511
评论
你是不是没念咒
评论
等明天咯。。。。。不急
评论
我是希望cv少涨 地税就少了
评论
怕啥，师傅卖掉一座庙，涨了少许地税都是浮云啦
评论
庙还升值呢。。。。。
评论
看看汇率？
又有一个大户抛了