新西兰ZT: Property Report: Is this the beginning of a crash?
在新西兰
http://www.nzherald.co.nz/proper ... p;objectid=11269062
Evidence is accumulating that the housing market has turned. Is it a temporary hiccup caused by the Reserve Bank's imposition of restrictions on high-LVR lending and higher interest rates, with the market set to soon rebound to new highs? Or is it the beginning of a crash?
The housing market is a tricky thing to predict, but the truth probably lies somewhere in the middle.
Let's examine the evidence that things are slowing. REINZ data shows national house sales are running around 12 per cent lower than a year ago, and nearly 14 per cent lower in Auckland. House price inflation tends to follow sales with about a three month lag, so it is not surprising that QV data shows annual house price inflation has steadily eased since its peak of 10 per cent in December last year, and the monthly numbers show prices have all but stopped rising. In addition, the value of mortgage approvals is now declining, according to Reserve Bank data.
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temporary hiccup caused by LVR restriction.
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歇一下对后市会更好,冬季是传统的淡季,Crash??上次金融危机都对NZ的房地产市场没有很大的影响, 何来Crash只说? 市场上总有唱好和唱衰的2派,就象股市一样,就连国家政府也有当政和反对的两派,很明显这个作者是唱衰的一派,看看就够了
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我还在等着crash啊啊啊啊
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等着crash 多搞几套,
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O(∩_∩)O~
等crash+LVR一解除 弄他个百八十套的
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六,七,八三个月继续低迷已是大势所趋。但绝对不会Crash.
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低迷好啊 正是去拍卖捡漏的好时候
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这作者脑子进水了。
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作者聪明着呢 准备买第一套房了 所以发个文
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哦, 那可以理解。
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等着崩盘的人为数不少,报纸总得要照顾到所有读者的需求
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所以这可以从一个侧面证明,本轮牛市还没结束。
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本轮牛市不但还没结束,将会在今年底或者明年初创出新高
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今天人民币大涨了 看来单边贬值可以停了 坐等纽币破0.8
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算是经历过几次本地市场高高低低,可以肯定的是,市场好的时候,等着市场崩盘的时候多搞几套的人永远都不少,但市场真正逆转的时候,敢于下叉的人少之又少,绝大多数人只会眼睁睁地看着市场又一次从低谷拉升,幻想着市场再次崩盘去捡便宜。不然,人人都可以成李嘉诚或巴菲特了。
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所以投资永远是少数人玩大多数人的游戏。
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房价稳中有升是肯定的。。。火热到之前的程度有点难,但至少高过INFLATION吧。。。
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说的有道理,如果现在入场,可以保证明年收获不小。
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这些少数人就是引领市场的掌舵人,需要具备特殊的能力,如果是普通能力的人,跟着这些少数人的脚步走就对了