新西兰号外一下，OCR的新闻
在新西兰
RBNZ保持OCR在2.5%不变。。。。。。。。。
空军又失望了
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明年3月考虑升息，是烟雾弹吧？
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现在全世界在剧变前夕，三个月的预测太长。我预测明年一月还是不升。
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The Reserve Bank today left the Official Cash Rate unchanged at 2.5 percent.
Reserve Bank Governor Graeme Wheeler said: “Growth remains moderate but mixed for New Zealand’s main trading partners. Nevertheless, export prices for New Zealand’s main commodities, and especially dairy produce, have continued to increase.
“New Zealand’s GDP is estimated to have grown at over 3 percent in the year to the September quarter and the expansion in the economy has considerable momentum. New Zealand’s terms of trade are at a 40-year high, household spending is rising and construction activity is being lifted by the Canterbury rebuild and the response to the housing shortage in Auckland.
“Continued fiscal consolidation and the high exchange rate will partly offset the strength in domestic demand. The high exchange rate is a particular headwind for the tradables sector and the Bank does not believe it is sustainable in the long run.
“House price inflation is high in Auckland and other regions due to the housing shortage, and demand pressures associated with low interest rates and rising net inward migration. Restrictions on high loan-to-value mortgage lending, introduced in October, should help slow house price inflation. Data to date are limited on the effects of these restrictions. We will continue to monitor outcomes in the housing market closely.
“Annual CPI inflation increased to 1.4 percent in the September quarter and inflation pressures are projected to increase. The extent and timing of such pressures will depend largely on movements in the exchange rate, changes in commodity prices, and the degree to which momentum in the housing market and construction activity spills over into broader cost and price pressures.
“The Bank will increase the OCR as needed in order to keep future average inflation near the 2 percent target midpoint”.
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来来来听歌，过了节再说，sit back and relax
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OCR不变利息也会上去，现在银行在定期上的margin太低了，很快会有动静
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是，没想到LVR有限制贷款数量还能上升，真牛B。估计会有上升的动作。不过FLOATING应该变化不大
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