如今超过二分之一的小企业仍旧面临严重的现金流问题,这让人们非常担心,在JobKeeper结束之后,许多小企业将在几个月内关门歇业。
最近为澳大利亚小企业协会(SBA)专门做的独立调查报告分析了疫情对全国25个分类600名经营者的影响。
SBA的数据发现,由于新冠疫情的影响,几乎全国220万家小企业不得不关闭或者改变经营模式。
数据还显示,如果JobKeeper停止发放,将有超过488000员工被迫离职,224000家企业不得不搬家,192000家企业只能通过出售房子或其他资产来度过难关。
更可怕的是14.9万个生意将无限期关停,还有9.8万个永久关闭。
SBA的执行董事Bill Lang表示,需要联邦政府和州政府齐心协力帮助企业重新站起来。
他说:“应该联邦政府每拿出1块钱,州政府也拿出1块钱,来支持本地的企业。”
他还说:“不同的行业受到影响的程度也不同,这也取决于每个州的具体情况。”
就在上周联邦政府宣布了一项12亿澳元的刺激计划,旨在鼓励国内旅游,但这引起旅游业和酒店业的极大担忧。
有人担心该方案使得航空业优先于更加窘迫的其他行业得到照顾。
从就业数据来看,在去年第四季度,建筑业,科学技术服务,运输,邮政,仓储还有旅游业和酒店业都严重依赖联邦政府的支持。
最高峰时,JobKeeper支持了大约100万家企业的超过380万人。
截至目前为止,发放的JobKeeper薪资总额约为851亿澳元,预计该计划结束时将达到约900亿澳元。
餐厅和餐饮协会的首席执行官Wes Lambert表示,疫情之前有48700家餐厅和咖啡店,等到6月会有10%永久关闭。
已经有大约有6500家企业倒闭,另有3500家预计将在未来3个月内倒闭。
Lambert还表示,全国各地的CBD区域所受影响最为严重。
旅游和交通运输行业仍在呼吁政府,在国际旅行恢复之前继续发放工资补贴,虽然何时恢复国际旅行尚无定论。
据估计该行业今年将裁员超过30万人,而去年2020年已经因为新冠疫情裁撤了50.6万个全职岗位。
澳大利亚酒店协会的首席执行官Stephen Ferguson表示,一旦JobKeeper结束,该行业的前途就只能靠自己了。
他说:“已经可以看到整个行业都在裁员,我们不知道最终会发生什么。”
在线旅行预订网站TheR8.com的创始人兼首席执行官Joshua Susskind表示,政府的支持对于仍受澳大利亚边境关闭影响的企业至关重要。
他说过去一年中的大部分时间里他都在帮助客户处理国际旅行预订的退款。
Susskind先生进一步表示:“JobKeeper让我们这样的中小企业可以留住员工,而员工正是我们这种企业的核心价值。“
“停止JobKeeper是一个可怕的想法。虽然我们对未来保持乐观,但是现实就是国际边境仍未开放,而且可能要等到2022年才会开放。“
餐厅老板Joe Mammone则说,由于国际边境的关闭,本来就很难找到合适的工作人员,一旦JobKeeper再停止,那么这样的情形还会更加恶化。
45岁的他在墨尔本有4家店,包括位于CBD的Il Bacaro,一共有20个全职或临时职位,但是都招不到人。
Mammone指出:“很多人都去摘葡萄或者去农场了。“
“除了缺少服务员,我们周围很多餐厅因为招待人数受限而无法开业。“
餐厅必须遵守每2平方米不超过1人的接待规则。
Mammone在Il Bacaro的员工还在领取JobKeeper,他希望在月底JobKeeper停止支付的时候,边境可以重新开放。
Maya墨西哥餐厅的老板Katie Coats感谢JobKeeper帮助她的生意挺了过来,但是也指出未来的挑战是如何找到好的员工。
这家很受欢迎的餐厅位于布里斯班的Fortitude Valley,在疫情期间它不得不改变经营方式,不再是一个酒吧,而是更多的偏向于提供食物服务。
餐厅在去年9月之前一直依赖联邦政府的支持,现在已经基本恢复到疫情前的经营水平。
Coats表示:“我们这个行业非常依赖持度假打工签证和学生签证的工人,未来的24个月里,相信我们行业应对人员短缺现象将是非常有困难的。“
旅行社代理Amanda Cengarle表示在“一段极其焦虑的时期“JobKeeper帮助她获得财务保障,但是在本月之后,她担心的不是自己,而是其他旅行社的同行。
“我最担心我那些业务规模较小的旅行社同行,如果失去进一步的帮助,他们可能无法继续生存下去。“
Cengarle说随着商务旅行的复苏,她的业务出现了强劲的反弹,对此她很欣慰。
“JobKeeper在过去的一年里是旅游业的生命线,我们也看到很多旅游企业转向新的产品,但仅凭这一点还不足以自我拯救。“
她最后说:“我关心的不仅仅是我自己,而是整个旅游业的未来。“
原文链接:
https://www.dailytelegraph.com.a ... 1bdc62920c99718070f
More than one in two small businesses are still suffering from significant cashflow issues and fears remain many will fold in the coming months after JobKeeper ends.
New independent analysis recently compiled for Small Business Australia analysed the impacts of the pandemic on 600 operators from more than 25 sectors nationally.
The SBA data found nearly all of the nation’s 2.2 million small businesses, many had to either close or change the way they operated because of the pandemic.
It also showed when JobKeeper support is turned off more than 488,000 staff will have to be let go, 224,000 businesses will have to move premises and 192,000 will have to sell their homes or assets.
In addition to this 149,000 businesses will close indefinitely and 98,000 will close permanently.
Small Business Australia’s executive director Bill Lang said there needs to be “dollar for dollar funding” to help businesses get back on their feet.
“This would be where the Commonwealth puts in a dollar and the state puts in a dollar particularly for industries in their state,” he said.
“Different industries have been impacted differently depending on what each state has done.”
Just last week the Federal Government announced a $1.2 billion stimulus package to help surcharge domestic travel but this caused much angst within the tourism and hospitality industries.
There were concerns the package favoured the airlines ahead of these struggling industries.
But latest JobKeeper figures found in the December quarter construction, professional, scientific and technical services and transport, postal and warehousing, tourism and hospitality were among those heavily reliant on the Federal Government support.
At its peak JobKeeper supported more than 3.8 million individuals and about 1 million businesses.
Total JobKeeper payments made so far are about $85.1 billion and it’s estimated by the program’s end it will reach about $90 billion.
Restaurant and Catering Association’s chief executive officer Wes Lambert said of their industry’s 48,700 restaurants, cafes and caterers that were operating pre-pandemic, about 10 per cent of these will permanently go by the end of June.
“We think the businesses that were only hanging on only because of JobKeeper they will likely be the ones that struggle between April 1 until the national borders are reopened,” he said
“Many businesses that were heavily reliant on JobKeeper will close after April 1 as landlord protections and JobKeeper expires.”
Already about 6500 businesses have closed and another 3500 are expected to close in the next three months.
Mr Lambert also said CBDs around the country remain the hardest hit.
The Tourism and Transport Forum has also called for a dedicated wage subsidy until international travel resumes with no date set down yet.
The industry has estimated more than 300,000 job losses this year and this comes after 506,000 full-time positions were lost in 2020 because of the COVID-19 pandemic.
The Australian Hotels Association’s chief executive officer Stephen Ferguson said once JobKeeper ends businesses within the industry are “on their own”.
“Already we are starting to see redundancies across the sector and we don’t know where it’ll end up,” he said.
“There are many businesses out there only operating at 30 per cent revenue that are only able to keep staff on because of JobKeeper.”
Joshua Susskind says government support is crucial for businesses still impacted by the closure of Australia’s international borders.
The founder and CEO of online travel booking and concierge service TheR8.com said his business spent much of the past year helping clients claim refunds for international travel bookings, and now wants more clarity about support for struggling business owners.
“JobKeeper has allowed us to keep our employees, which in a small to medium sized business like ours are the backbone of the organisation,” Mr Susskind said.
“The ending of JobKeeper is a scary thought. While we’re optimistic about the direction that we’re currently travelling, the reality is the international borders are not currently open and might not be until 2022.”
To stay agile, TheR8.com brought in managing director Jonathan Midghall to streamline operations and reduce costs, and had introduced a new product focused on holiday home rentals, Mr Susskind said.
Restaurateur Joe Mammone said the domestic and international border closures have made it extremely difficult to find staff and fears this will continue when JobKeeper stops.
The 45-year-old runs four venues in Melbourne including Il Bacaro in the CBD and said he has at least 20 positions – both casual and full-time he cannot fill.
“With the border closures both internationally and domestically a lot of people have gone grape grazing or gone to farms,” Mr Mammone said.
“We have a shortage of hospitality staff and there’s that many restaurants around us that haven’t been able to open because the numbers don’t stack up with restrictions.”
Eateries must abide by the 1 person per 2sq m rule.
Mr Mammone’s staff at Il Bacaro are still on JobKeeper and he hopes when the payments stop at the end of the month the open and closing of borders stops.
“We can’t just flick on a switch and find staff,” he said.
“I can’t see why there’s international hospitality staff who can’t get into the country, there should be a quarantine process for them.”
Maya Mexican owner Katie Coats says JobKeeper helped her business survive the pandemic but the biggest challenge ahead is finding good workers.
The popular Mexican venue in Brisbane’s Fortitude Valley had to change its focus during the pandemic – instead of being a bar it had to pivot more towards offering food services.
Ms Coats said with JobKeeper ending it could be “delaying the inevitable for many businesses”.
They relied on the Federal Government payments until September and are now close to returning to pre-COVID trading levels.
“I’m wary of when the bubble will burst,” Ms Coats said.
“In hospitality we rely so heavily on our students and working holiday visas and the ability for our industry to survive staffing shortages is going to be so challenging over the next 24 months.
“Working holiday visas are such a lifeline for us and without them or student visas it will be a very interesting few years.”
Travel agent Amanda Cengarle says JobKeeper helped give her financial security “during a very anxious time”, and its end this month has left her worried about other tourism operators more than herself.
“My main concern lies with our smaller travel and tourism friends who might not be able to continue to survive without further assistance,” said the customer success manager at Corporate Traveller SA.
Ms Cengarle said she was grateful that her business, the corporate arm of Flight Centre, was now seeing strong numbers as business travel recovered.
“JobKeeper has been the lifeline of the travel industry for the last year, we’ve seen so many businesses pivot into new offerings, but this alone isn’t enough to save many businesses,” she said.
The Federal Government’s new $1.2 billion program offering half-price fares to 13 Australian regional tourism destinations only focused on Kangaroo Island in South Australia.
“I am concerned for the travel and tourism industry in general, not so much for myself,” Ms Cengarle said.
评论
这是没办法的,毕竟政府已经支持一年了,要靠市场的手来调节了,
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既然缺人,那说明生意好,哪有缺人却两手一摊,让政府付工资的。
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不赞成继续
这样下去好企业也成僵尸企业了
并且目前通胀已经太可怕了
只能短痛一下 优胜劣汰
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建筑业?!
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这。。2新闻 一个说失业率下降 一个说要大量失业。。6月份就知道了 看看吧
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事情要人做,不舍得给钱
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我觉得二季度三季度倒闭潮开始的时候,政府会换个名目补贴的,毕竟大选年,要保失业率不能太难看。
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估计5月财政预算会有新计划,目前的jobmaker只能对雇佣员工保持就业率有所帮助,但企业没钱运营倒闭了也就不存在雇佣的说法了
评论
另外一个新闻失业率下降的厉害
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房价要涨-这句话一定没有错
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没有错啊,
你可以读下这个,可以一个大龄员工换两个
雇用者补贴:如何操作?谁有资格?
https://www..com.au/bbs/ ... =1627927&page=1
评论
还必须35岁以下
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左一个新闻说领了keeper的企业今年利润分红大涨,右一个说停了大量企业要倒闭
到底该听谁的?
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新闻里那个开4家店的说招不到人?生意这么好?那为什么抱怨jobkeeper要停?我没明白这里面的逻辑。
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Homebuilder也要停了
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关注此事
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48800人失业?感觉少了个0
看原文,确实少了个0
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看着这一个个数字好可怕
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jobmaker来一波
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jobmaker来一波
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救急是一回事,不是长久之计,国库榨干。一旦停止 接下来就是失业率/犯罪率飙高。
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长期看企业需要转型,jobkeeper该停了,不能继续饮鸩止渴了,澳洲的企业也该探索新的形式新的发展方向了,需要更面向未来了。
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经济在恢复。企业要补贴不是怕倒闭, 是要政府补些利润
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关键是国门没开放,留学生和背包客这两大群潜在员工太缺了!
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自己赚钱放腰包,员工工资政府报
餐饮业哪有招不到的人,只有给不到的工资
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支持这些垃圾企业倒闭!
你要浪费纳税人的钱
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身边有很多这种垃圾小生意,本来就是僵尸企业,现在用来骗Job Keeper福利!强烈支持政府停止Job Keeper政策!
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不知不觉莫不群他老婆也垂帘听政快3年了。自由党赶紧滚下来吧,虽然工党也是扶不起的阿斗。
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小部分拿钱, 大家一起还钱;
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